Blue Texas and Politifact


Politifact Texas recently did a check of a comment by Gilberto Hinojosa, to the effect that Texas’ electoral votes combined with California and New York (i.e. if Texas voted for the Democratic candidate) would make it mathematically impossible for a Republican to win the White House. 

They rated that one false, and I’m inclined to agree with them. Around the same time Hinojosa made a similar comment “And the day that Texas becomes blue, it becomes mathematically impossible for Republicans to elect the president of the United States.” There is a nugget of truth here and the right context could have switched this from False to True.

Electoral-Vote.com tracks the presidential race based on each of the 51 state (and District of Columbia) races for President and color codes the states based on the strength of a candidate in the most recent polls. When you add up the electoral votes of the states that reliably vote Democratic, you get 241. The states that reliably vote Republican (including Texas) total 191. If nothing else changed, Texas’ 38 electoral votes would put the Democrats over the top since the minimum to win is 270 electoral votes.. If Texas became reliably blue, The Republicans would hardly have a chance without major ideological reforms.

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